STUDI TENTANG DAMPAK RESESI EKONOMI DAN KRISIS GLOBAL TAHUN 2023 TERHADAP KETAHANAN EKONOMI NASIONAL DI INDONESIA
Abstract
Penelitian ini menguraikan tentang bagaimana Ketahanan Ekonomi Nasional di Indonesia bertahan dalam menghadapi resesi ekonomi dan krisis global tahun 2023. Berawal dari pengalaman beberapa negara di belahan dunia dalam mengatasi dampak yang diakibatkan oleh resesi global di masa lalu yang menimpa tidak hanya bidang ekonomi dan moneter, tapi juga segala aspek kehidupan seperti sosial, kesehatan, pendidikan dan budaya. Resesi global ini tidak hanya berdampak pada negara miskin dan berkembang, akan tetapi negara maju dan kaya pun juga terkena dampak dan imbas resesi yang mampu memporak porandakan segala sendi kehidupan. Beberapa kebijakan dan program pemerintah telah diimplementasikan dan diaplikasikan untuk mencegah atau setidaknya mampu meminimalisir kerugian akibat resesi yang terjadi. Artikel ini mencoba memberi sumbangsih saran dan pemikiran kepada pemerintah dan pemangku kebijakan publik serta aparat yang berwenang tentang bagaimana upaya kita semua agar Ketahanan Ekonomi Nasional mampu bertahan di tengah gempuran resesi ekonomi dan krisis global.
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Abstract
Penelitian ini menguraikan tentang bagaimana Ketahanan Ekonomi Nasional di Indonesia bertahan dalam menghadapi resesi ekonomi dan krisis global tahun 2023. Berawal dari pengalaman beberapa negara di belahan dunia dalam mengatasi dampak yang diakibatkan oleh resesi global di masa lalu yang menimpa tidak hanya bidang ekonomi dan moneter, tapi juga segala aspek kehidupan seperti sosial, kesehatan, pendidikan dan budaya. Resesi global ini tidak hanya berdampak pada negara miskin dan berkembang, akan tetapi negara maju dan kaya pun juga terkena dampak dan imbas resesi yang mampu memporak porandakan segala sendi kehidupan. Beberapa kebijakan dan program pemerintah telah diimplementasikan dan diaplikasikan untuk mencegah atau setidaknya mampu meminimalisir kerugian akibat resesi yang terjadi. Artikel ini mencoba memberi sumbangsih saran dan pemikiran kepada pemerintah dan pemangku kebijakan publik serta aparat yang berwenang tentang bagaimana upaya kita semua agar Ketahanan Ekonomi Nasional mampu bertahan di tengah gempuran resesi ekonomi dan krisis global.
References
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Ensor, T., Cooper, S., Davidson, L., Fitzmaurice, A., & Graham, W. J. (2010). The impact of economic recession on maternal and infant mortality: Lessons from history. BMC Public Health, 10(1), 727. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-10-727
Fang, X., Ansell, J., & Chen, W. (2013). Modeling of a small transportation company’s start-up with limited data during economic recession. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1155/2013/802528
Focus, S. (2022). Global Stagflation Special Focus 1. Global Economic Prospect.
Folinas, D., Tsolakis, N., & Aidonis, D. (2018). Logistics Services Sector and Economic Recession in Greece: Challenges and Opportunities. Logistics, 2(3), 16. https://doi.org/10.3390/logistics2030016
Frasquilho, D., Matos, M. G., Salonna, F., Guerreiro, D., Storti, C. C., Gaspar, T., & Caldas-De-Almeida, J. M. (2016). Mental health outcomes in times of economic recession: A systematic literature review Health behavior, health promotion and society. BMC Public Health, 16(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-016-2720-y
Georgescu, D. D. (2011). Lean Thinking and Transferring Lean Management - The Best Defence against an Economic Recession. European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 3(1), 4–20.
Gkentzi, D., Katsoula, V., Fouzas, S., Mentis, M., Karatza, A., & Dimitriou, G. (2019). Economic Recession and Attendances in the Pediatric Emergency Department. BioMed Research International, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/4186486
GÖK, M. (2022). Pandemi ve Ekonomik Durgunluk Sürecinde KOBİ’ler ve Sosyoekonomik Önemi. Alanya Akademik Bakış, 3, 3371–3393. https://doi.org/10.29023/alanyaakademik.1143412
Guénette, J. D., Kose, M. A., & Sugawara, N. (2022). Is a Global Recession Imminent? EFI Policy Note 4. September, 1–37.
Guerra, O., Agyapong, V. I. O., & Nkire, N. (2022). A Qualitative Scoping Review of the Impacts of Economic Recessions on Mental Health: Implications for Practice and Policy. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(10). https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19105937
Guerra, O., & Eboreime, E. (2021). The impact of economic recessions on depression, anxiety, and trauma-related disorders and illness outcomes—A scoping review. Behavioral Sciences, 11(9). https://doi.org/10.3390/bs11090119
Gurskij, P., & Liučvaitienė, A. (2016). Lėtėjančios Ekonomikos Poveikis Įmonių Veiklai. 0(Cvetkov 2012). https://doi.org/10.3846/mla.2015.894
Hiswåls, A. S., Marttila, A., Mälstam, E., & Macassa, G. (2017). Experiences of unemployment and well-being after job loss during economic recession: Results of a qualitative study in east central Sweden. Journal of Public Health Research, 6(3), 135–141. https://doi.org/10.4081/jphr.2017.995
Ionescu, C. R. (2009). Economic Recession: A New Challenge for the European Union. Economy Transdisciplinarity Cognition, 20–23.
Jesus, T. S., Kondilis, E., Filippon, J., & Russo, G. (2019). Impact of economic recessions on healthcare workers and their crises’ responses: Study protocol for a systematic review of the qualitative and quantitative evidence for the development of an evidence-based conceptual framework. BMJ Open, 9(11), 3–7. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2019-032972
Ketahanan Ekonomi Indonesia: Kondisi Makro - Pusat Riset Kependudukan BRIN. (n.d.).
Kose, M. A., & Terrones, M. E. (2020). Global Recessions. In Policy Research Working Paper (JEL Codes: E32; F44; N10; O47; Issue March).
Kraft, J., Nedomlelová, I., & Petříček, M. (2012). Personnel Decision Making of Chosen Czech Banking Subjects During the Economic Recession. Creative and Knowledge Society, 1(2), 6–15. https://doi.org/10.2478/v10212-011-0005-5
Kuzmišin, P. (2011). Global business activities in light of the impacts of the economic recession. Quality Innovation Prosperity, 14(1–2), 9–20. https://doi.org/10.12776/qip.v14i1-2.30
Lasode, A. O. (2017). Effects of Economic Recession on the Lifestyle of Undergraduates in Nigeria. PEOPLE: International Journal of Social Sciences, 3(3), 502–509. https://doi.org/10.20319/pijss.2017.33.502509
Marlinah, L. (2017). Meningkatkan Ketahanan Ekonomi Nasional Melalui Pengembangan Ekonomi Kreatif. Cakrawala : Jurnal Humaniora Bina Sarana Informatika, 17(2), 258–265. https://doi.org/10.31294/JC.V17I2.2488
McFarlane, D. A. (2012). The Impact of the Global Economic Recession on the American Criminal Justice System. International Journal of Criminal Justice Sciences, 7(2), 539–549.
Osmani, R., & Deari, F. (2016). Firms’ financial performances and economic recession : evidence from Macedonian listed companies. Economic Sciences, 9 (58)(1), 201–210.
Prediksi IMF: Inflasi Indonesia 4,6 Persen di 2022 dan Naik ke 5,5 Persen pada 2023 - Bisnis Liputan6.com. (n.d.).
Ramalan Terbaru IMF Soal Ekonomi RI 2023, Penasaran? (n.d.).
Rasalingam, G. (2023). The acute economic recession: WHO diabetes target 2030 becoming unrealistic in Sri Lanka. Health Science Reports, 6(1), 2–4. https://doi.org/10.1002/hsr2.1027
Recio, R. S., De Ágreda, J. P. A. P., Rabanaque, M. J., & Palacio, I. A. (2022). Understanding the Effect of Economic Recession on Healthcare Services: A Systematic Review. Iranian Journal of Public Health, 51(3), 495–507. https://doi.org/10.18502/ijph.v51i3.8925
RESESI EKONOMI? APA ITU? (n.d.).
Rozentale, I. (2014). Creative industries during economic recession: The case of Riga. Regional Studies, Regional Science, 1(1), 329–335. https://doi.org/10.1080/21681376.2014.981578
Samanta, I. (2016). Investigating the Buyer-Seller Relationships in the Economic Recession: a Qualitative Approach. Independent Journal of Management & Production, 7(2), 340–366. https://doi.org/10.14807/ijmp.v7i2.401
Svobodova, H. (2013). Changes of Employment in Enterprises in the South-Moravian Region during and after Economic Recession. Journal of Competitiveness, 5(1), 53–67. https://doi.org/10.7441/joc.2013.01.04
Szeles, M. R. (2011). Revival of Romanian Exports In The Context of The Global Economic Recession. … University of Brasov. Economic Sciences. Series V, 4(2).
Tang, Y. M., Chau, K. Y., Li, W., & Wan, T. W. (2020). Forecasting economic recession through share price in the logistics industry with artificial intelligence (AI). Computation, 8(3). https://doi.org/10.3390/COMPUTATION8030070
Valášková, K., & Klieštik, T. (2015). Behavioural reactions of consumers to economic recession. Business: Theory and Practice, 16(3), 290–303. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2015.515
Zavras, D. (2020). Studying healthcare affordability during an economic recession: The case of Greece. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(21), 1–21. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17217790
Zostautiene, D., Zvireliene, R., & Susniene, D. (2017). Changes of marketing culture expression: Comparison analysis in times of economic recession and recovery. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istrazivanja , 30(1), 302–317. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2017.1305806
Abbasi-Shavazi, M. J. (2021). COVID-19, economic recession, and the Refugee situation. International Migration, 59(1), 289–292. https://doi.org/10.1111/imig.12820
Andrietta, L. S., Levi, M. L., Scheffer, M. C., Alves, M. T. S. S. D. B. E., Carneiro Alves De Oliveira, B. L., & Russo, G. (2020). The differential impact of economic recessions on health systems in middle-income settings: A comparative case study of unequal states in Brazil. BMJ Global Health, 5(2), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2019-002122
Arroyo, E., Renart, G., & Saez, M. (2015). How the economic recession has changed the likelihood of reporting poor self-rated health in Spain. International Journal for Equity in Health, 14(1), 2011–2012. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12939-015-0285-5
Astell-Burt, T., & Feng, X. (2013). Health and the 2008 Economic Recession: Evidence from the United Kingdom. PLoS ONE, 8(2), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0056674
Borrell, C., Palència, L., Bosakova, L., Gotsens, M., Morrison, J., Costa, C., Dzurova, D., Deboosere, P., Lustigova, M., Marí-Dell’olmo, M., Rodopoulou, S., & Santana, P. (2021). Socioeconomic inequalities in chronic liver diseases and cirrhosis mortality in european urban areas before and after the onset of the 2008 economic recession. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(16). https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18168801
Brugueras, S., Rius, C., Millet, J. P., Casals, M., Caylà, J. A., Simón, P., De Andrés, A., Clos, R., Ricart, M., Ros, M., Santomà, M. J., Gorrindo, P., Palau, P., Cunillé, M., Masdeu, E., Avellanés, I., Rodrigo, J. Á., Codina, G., Martin, M. T., … Muñoz, M. C. (2019). Does the economic recession influence the incidence of pertussis in a cosmopolitan European
city? BMC Public Health, 19(1), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-019-6448-3
Camska, D., & Klecka, J. (2020). Comparison of Prediction Models Applied in Economic Recession and Expansion. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(3), 52. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13030052
Cristino, C. T., Żebrowski, P., & Wildemeersch, M. (2020). Assessing the time intervals between economic recessions. PLoS ONE, 15(5), 1–21. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0232615
Davis, B. (2009). What’s a Global Recession? - WSJ. Wsj.Com.
Dong, H., Zheng, Y., & Li, N. (2023). Analysis of Systemic Risk Scenarios and Stabilization Effect of Monetary Policy under the COVID-19 Shock and Pharmaceutical Economic Recession. Sustainability (Switzerland), 15(1). https://doi.org/10.3390/su15010880
Ensor, T., Cooper, S., Davidson, L., Fitzmaurice, A., & Graham, W. J. (2010). The impact of economic recession on maternal and infant mortality: Lessons from history. BMC Public Health, 10(1), 727. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-10-727
Fang, X., Ansell, J., & Chen, W. (2013). Modeling of a small transportation company’s start-up with limited data during economic recession. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1155/2013/802528
Focus, S. (2022). Global Stagflation Special Focus 1. Global Economic Prospect.
Folinas, D., Tsolakis, N., & Aidonis, D. (2018). Logistics Services Sector and Economic Recession in Greece: Challenges and Opportunities. Logistics, 2(3), 16. https://doi.org/10.3390/logistics2030016
Frasquilho, D., Matos, M. G., Salonna, F., Guerreiro, D., Storti, C. C., Gaspar, T., & Caldas-De-Almeida, J. M. (2016). Mental health outcomes in times of economic recession: A systematic literature review Health behavior, health promotion and society. BMC Public Health, 16(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-016-2720-y
Georgescu, D. D. (2011). Lean Thinking and Transferring Lean Management - The Best Defence against an Economic Recession. European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 3(1), 4–20.
Gkentzi, D., Katsoula, V., Fouzas, S., Mentis, M., Karatza, A., & Dimitriou, G. (2019). Economic Recession and Attendances in the Pediatric Emergency Department. BioMed Research International, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/4186486
GÖK, M. (2022). Pandemi ve Ekonomik Durgunluk Sürecinde KOBİ’ler ve Sosyoekonomik Önemi. Alanya Akademik Bakış, 3, 3371–3393. https://doi.org/10.29023/alanyaakademik.1143412
Guénette, J. D., Kose, M. A., & Sugawara, N. (2022). Is a Global Recession Imminent? EFI Policy Note 4. September, 1–37.
Guerra, O., Agyapong, V. I. O., & Nkire, N. (2022). A Qualitative Scoping Review of the Impacts of Economic Recessions on Mental Health: Implications for Practice and Policy. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(10). https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19105937
Guerra, O., & Eboreime, E. (2021). The impact of economic recessions on depression, anxiety, and trauma-related disorders and illness outcomes—A scoping review. Behavioral Sciences, 11(9). https://doi.org/10.3390/bs11090119
Gurskij, P., & Liučvaitienė, A. (2016). Lėtėjančios Ekonomikos Poveikis Įmonių Veiklai. 0(Cvetkov 2012). https://doi.org/10.3846/mla.2015.894
Hiswåls, A. S., Marttila, A., Mälstam, E., & Macassa, G. (2017). Experiences of unemployment and well-being after job loss during economic recession: Results of a qualitative study in east central Sweden. Journal of Public Health Research, 6(3), 135–141. https://doi.org/10.4081/jphr.2017.995
Ionescu, C. R. (2009). Economic Recession: A New Challenge for the European Union. Economy Transdisciplinarity Cognition, 20–23.
Jesus, T. S., Kondilis, E., Filippon, J., & Russo, G. (2019). Impact of economic recessions on healthcare workers and their crises’ responses: Study protocol for a systematic review of the qualitative and quantitative evidence for the development of an evidence-based conceptual framework. BMJ Open, 9(11), 3–7. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2019-032972
Ketahanan Ekonomi Indonesia: Kondisi Makro - Pusat Riset Kependudukan BRIN. (n.d.).
Kose, M. A., & Terrones, M. E. (2020). Global Recessions. In Policy Research Working Paper (JEL Codes: E32; F44; N10; O47; Issue March).
Kraft, J., Nedomlelová, I., & Petříček, M. (2012). Personnel Decision Making of Chosen Czech Banking Subjects During the Economic Recession. Creative and Knowledge Society, 1(2), 6–15. https://doi.org/10.2478/v10212-011-0005-5
Kuzmišin, P. (2011). Global business activities in light of the impacts of the economic recession. Quality Innovation Prosperity, 14(1–2), 9–20. https://doi.org/10.12776/qip.v14i1-2.30
Lasode, A. O. (2017). Effects of Economic Recession on the Lifestyle of Undergraduates in Nigeria. PEOPLE: International Journal of Social Sciences, 3(3), 502–509. https://doi.org/10.20319/pijss.2017.33.502509
Marlinah, L. (2017). Meningkatkan Ketahanan Ekonomi Nasional Melalui Pengembangan Ekonomi Kreatif. Cakrawala : Jurnal Humaniora Bina Sarana Informatika, 17(2), 258–265. https://doi.org/10.31294/JC.V17I2.2488
McFarlane, D. A. (2012). The Impact of the Global Economic Recession on the American Criminal Justice System. International Journal of Criminal Justice Sciences, 7(2), 539–549.
Osmani, R., & Deari, F. (2016). Firms’ financial performances and economic recession : evidence from Macedonian listed companies. Economic Sciences, 9 (58)(1), 201–210.
Prediksi IMF: Inflasi Indonesia 4,6 Persen di 2022 dan Naik ke 5,5 Persen pada 2023 - Bisnis Liputan6.com. (n.d.).
Ramalan Terbaru IMF Soal Ekonomi RI 2023, Penasaran? (n.d.).
Rasalingam, G. (2023). The acute economic recession: WHO diabetes target 2030 becoming unrealistic in Sri Lanka. Health Science Reports, 6(1), 2–4. https://doi.org/10.1002/hsr2.1027
Recio, R. S., De Ágreda, J. P. A. P., Rabanaque, M. J., & Palacio, I. A. (2022). Understanding the Effect of Economic Recession on Healthcare Services: A Systematic Review. Iranian Journal of Public Health, 51(3), 495–507. https://doi.org/10.18502/ijph.v51i3.8925
RESESI EKONOMI? APA ITU? (n.d.).
Rozentale, I. (2014). Creative industries during economic recession: The case of Riga. Regional Studies, Regional Science, 1(1), 329–335. https://doi.org/10.1080/21681376.2014.981578
Samanta, I. (2016). Investigating the Buyer-Seller Relationships in the Economic Recession: a Qualitative Approach. Independent Journal of Management & Production, 7(2), 340–366. https://doi.org/10.14807/ijmp.v7i2.401
Svobodova, H. (2013). Changes of Employment in Enterprises in the South-Moravian Region during and after Economic Recession. Journal of Competitiveness, 5(1), 53–67. https://doi.org/10.7441/joc.2013.01.04
Szeles, M. R. (2011). Revival of Romanian Exports In The Context of The Global Economic Recession. … University of Brasov. Economic Sciences. Series V, 4(2).
Tang, Y. M., Chau, K. Y., Li, W., & Wan, T. W. (2020). Forecasting economic recession through share price in the logistics industry with artificial intelligence (AI). Computation, 8(3). https://doi.org/10.3390/COMPUTATION8030070
Valášková, K., & Klieštik, T. (2015). Behavioural reactions of consumers to economic recession. Business: Theory and Practice, 16(3), 290–303. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2015.515
Zavras, D. (2020). Studying healthcare affordability during an economic recession: The case of Greece. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(21), 1–21. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17217790
Zostautiene, D., Zvireliene, R., & Susniene, D. (2017). Changes of marketing culture expression: Comparison analysis in times of economic recession and recovery. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istrazivanja , 30(1), 302–317. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2017.1305806
Published
2023-07-17
How to Cite
WALUYO, Sugeng Eko Yuli et al.
STUDI TENTANG DAMPAK RESESI EKONOMI DAN KRISIS GLOBAL TAHUN 2023 TERHADAP KETAHANAN EKONOMI NASIONAL DI INDONESIA.
CERMIN: Jurnal Penelitian, [S.l.], v. 7, n. 1, p. 291-305, july 2023.
ISSN 2615-3238.
Available at: <https://unars.ac.id/ojs/index.php/cermin_unars/article/view/3141>. Date accessed: 22 dec. 2024.
doi: https://doi.org/10.36841/cermin_unars.v7i1.3141.
Section
Articles
